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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shelbourne v Sligo Rovers: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Tolka Park
5–1
FT
Shelbourne 68%Draw 21%Sligo Rovers 12% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.65
68%
Betarazi pick

Shelbourne to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultShelbourne to win ✓68% · @1.35
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.84

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the Premier Division brings Shelbourne against Sligo Rovers at Tolka Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shelbourne, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Galway United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Sligo Rovers, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Shelbourne, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Sligo Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Jun 2026) it ended Sligo Rovers 2–2 Shelbourne. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shelbourne 0 wins, Sligo Rovers 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.9 xG, Sligo Rovers 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 68%, draw 21%, Sligo Rovers 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shelbourne to win (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–0 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shelbourne68%fair 1.48 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.75
Sligo Rovers12%fair 8.63 · @7.50
2.58Expected goals
1.93Shelbourne xG
0.65Sligo Rovers xG
44%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.9 – 0.7 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShelbourne to win ✓68%1.481.35
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✓88%1.131.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.771.85
Draw no betShelbourne (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapShelbourne -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
First team to scoreShelbourne to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultShelbourne ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne ✗43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.84–

Recent results

Shelbourne – last 6

DWLLDD
25 Sep@ Galway United1–1D
18 Sep@ Dundalk3–2W
14 Sepvs Drogheda United1–2L
11 Sepvs Derry City0–1L
28 Aug@ Galway United1–1D
13 Augvs Ajax2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sligo Rovers – last 6

LLLLLD
19 Sepvs St Patrick's Athl.0–1L
14 Sepvs Galway United1–3L
11 Sep@ Drogheda United0–2L
4 Sep@ Waterford0–3L
28 Aug@ Bohemians0–3L
21 Augvs Waterford0–0D
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Jun 2026Sligo Rovers v Shelbourne2–2
8 May 2026Shelbourne v Sligo Rovers0–0
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Our pick is Shelbourne to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

On our numbers Shelbourne have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sligo Rovers 12%.

How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.