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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Tallaght Stadium
3–1
FT
Shamrock Rovers 68%Draw 22%Drogheda United 10% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.66
68%
Betarazi pick

Shamrock Rovers to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Drogheda United travel to face Shamrock Rovers on Thursday 8 October in the Premier Division, with Tallaght Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 36 matches; Drogheda United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 40. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shamrock Rovers, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Waterford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Drogheda United, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trabzonspor, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Drogheda United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Shamrock Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Drogheda United 0–0 Shamrock Rovers. The last 3 head-to-heads: Shamrock Rovers 1 win, Drogheda United 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 2.0 xG, Drogheda United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 68%, draw 22%, Drogheda United 10%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shamrock Rovers to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Drogheda United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shamrock Rovers68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Drogheda United10%fair 10.13 · @7.50
2.68Expected goals
2.02Shamrock Rovers xG
0.66Drogheda United xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 2.0 – 0.7 Drogheda United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShamrock Rovers to win ✓68%1.471.36
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓90%1.111.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.85
Draw no betShamrock Rovers (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapShamrock Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreShamrock Rovers to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultShamrock Rovers ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Shamrock Rovers – last 6

WLDLDD
18 Sepvs Waterford3–2W
11 Sep@ St Patrick's Athl.0–2L
30 Aug@ Derry City3–3D
27 Aug@ KuPS0–1L
20 Augvs KuPS1–1D
16 Aug@ St Patrick's Athl.2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Drogheda United – last 6

WLWWLL
1 Oct@ Trabzonspor1–0W
18 Sep@ Bohemians1–2L
14 Sep@ Shelbourne2–1W
11 Sepvs Sligo Rovers2–0W
4 Sepvs Galway United1–2L
28 Augvs Dundalk2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Jul 2026Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers0–0
4 May 2026Shamrock Rovers v Drogheda United4–1
16 Mar 2026Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers0–0
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Our pick is Shamrock Rovers to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Drogheda United 10%.

How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Drogheda United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United (Premier Division) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.