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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sligo Rovers v Dundalk: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Showgrounds
1–1
FT

Dundalk

LLLDL
Sligo Rovers 22%Draw 19%Dundalk 58% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.84
58%
Betarazi pick

Dundalk to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultDundalk to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Sligo Rovers v Dundalk in the Premier Division, played at Showgrounds. In the table, Sligo Rovers are 10th, in the drop zone, on 25 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sligo Rovers, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Shelbourne, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Dundalk, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bohemians, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Sligo Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Dundalk 1–1 Sligo Rovers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sligo Rovers 0 wins, Dundalk 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sligo Rovers 1.0 xG, Dundalk 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sligo Rovers 22%, draw 19%, Dundalk 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Dundalk to win (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sligo Rovers 0–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sligo Rovers22%fair 4.46 · @4.00
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.80
Dundalk58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
2.86Expected goals
1.02Sligo Rovers xG
1.84Dundalk xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Sligo Rovers 1.0 – 1.8 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundalk to win ✗58%1.711.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.57
Draw no betDundalk (draw no bet)72%1.38–
Asian handicapSligo Rovers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreDundalk to score first61%1.65–
Half-time resultDundalk ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundalk / FT Dundalk ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Sligo Rovers – last 6

LLLLLL
9 Oct@ Shelbourne1–5L
19 Sepvs St Patrick's Athl.0–1L
14 Sepvs Galway United1–3L
11 Sep@ Drogheda United0–2L
4 Sep@ Waterford0–3L
28 Aug@ Bohemians0–3L
0.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dundalk – last 6

LLLDLW
2 Octvs Bohemians1–2L
18 Sepvs Shelbourne2–3L
14 Sepvs St Patrick's Athl.0–4L
11 Sep@ Waterford1–1D
6 Sep@ Derry City2–4L
28 Aug@ Drogheda United3–2W
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Jul 2026Dundalk v Sligo Rovers1–1
16 Mar 2026Dundalk v Sligo Rovers1–0
Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Our pick is Dundalk to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

On our numbers Sligo Rovers have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dundalk 58%.

How many goals will there be in Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Our predicted score is Sligo Rovers 0–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Showgrounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.