Kerry welcome UCD to Mounthawk Park for a First Division fixture on Friday 10 April (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Kerry, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Cork City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
UCD, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Wexford, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours UCD, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Kerry.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended UCD 2–1 Kerry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.2 xG, UCD 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 33%, draw 26%, UCD 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry33%fair 3.03 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
UCD41%fair 2.46 · @2.48
2.60Expected goals
1.24Kerry xG
1.36UCD xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.2 – 1.4 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kerry vs UCD?
On our numbers Kerry have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and UCD 41%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs UCD?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs UCD?
Kerry vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
