Cork City 71%Draw 17%Finn Harps 12%Expected goals 2.23 – 0.76
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✓71% · @1.31
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Cork City vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 29 May the First Division brings Cork City against Finn Harps at Turners Cross. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cork City are 1st, leading the league, on 75 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cork City, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Treaty United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Finn Harps, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Longford Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Finn Harps.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Finn Harps 0–0 Cork City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 2.2 xG, Finn Harps 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 71%, draw 17%, Finn Harps 12%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 2–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cork City71%fair 1.41 · @1.31
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.85
Finn Harps12%fair 8.44 · @9.70
2.99Expected goals
2.23Cork City xG
0.76Finn Harps xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cork City 2.2 – 0.8 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cork City vs Finn Harps?
On our numbers Cork City have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Finn Harps 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Finn Harps?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Our predicted score is Cork City 2–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs Finn Harps?
Cork City vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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