19:45 WAT, Friday 19 June: UCD v Kerry in the First Division, played at UCD Bowl.
Current form
UCD, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Finn Harps, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kerry, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Athlone Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours UCD, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Kerry.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Kerry 1–1 UCD. The last 2 head-to-heads: UCD 1 win, Kerry 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 1.7 xG, Kerry 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 56%, draw 24%, Kerry 21%.
Lower-risk option: UCD or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD56%fair 1.80 · @1.71
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.65
Kerry21%fair 4.85 · @4.75
2.69Expected goals
1.69UCD xG
1.00Kerry xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: UCD 1.7 – 1.0 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win UCD vs Kerry?
On our numbers UCD have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kerry 21%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Kerry?
UCD vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
