Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUCD to win ✗48% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Longford Town vs UCD: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCD travel to face Longford Town on Saturday 4 July in the First Division, with Bishopsgate the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Longford Town are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; UCD are 2nd (among the top four) with 56.
Current form
Longford Town, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kerry, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
UCD, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cobh Ramblers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended UCD 2–0 Longford Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Longford Town 1.3 xG, UCD 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Longford Town 29%, draw 23%, UCD 48%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Longford Town to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Longford Town 1–1 UCD. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Longford Town29%fair 3.44 · @3.70
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.55
UCD48%fair 2.09 · @1.93
2.91Expected goals
1.31Longford Town xG
1.60UCD xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Longford Town 1.3 – 1.6 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UCD 48%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs UCD?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–1 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs UCD?
Longford Town vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
