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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Longford Town v Bray Wanderers: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Bishopsgate
4–2
FT
Longford Town 35%Draw 22%Bray Wanderers 43% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.55
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Saturday 22 August: Longford Town v Bray Wanderers in the First Division, played at Bishopsgate. In the table, Longford Town are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Bray Wanderers are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Longford Town, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Bohemians, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Bray Wanderers, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Galway United, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jun 2026) it ended Bray Wanderers 5–2 Longford Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Longford Town 0 wins, Bray Wanderers 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Longford Town 1.4 xG, Bray Wanderers 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Longford Town 35%, draw 22%, Bray Wanderers 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Longford Town to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Longford Town 1–1 Bray Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Longford Town35%fair 2.84 · @3.05
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.45
Bray Wanderers43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
2.93Expected goals
1.37Longford Town xG
1.55Bray Wanderers xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Longford Town 1.4 – 1.6 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✗43%2.312.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.53
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapLongford Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.221.17
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.26–

Recent results

Longford Town – last 6

LLWWLW
16 Aug@ Bohemians0–4L
7 Aug@ Athlone Town1–2L
3 Augvs Finn Harps5–0W
31 Jul@ Treaty United1–0W
25 Julvs Wexford1–2L
18 Jul@ Baldoyle United8–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bray Wanderers – last 6

DWLLWW
14 Aug@ Galway United1–1D
7 Augvs Finn Harps5–0W
3 Aug@ Wexford1–2L
31 Julvs Kerry0–4L
24 Jul@ Cobh Ramblers2–1W
17 Jul@ Finn Harps1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jun 2026Bray Wanderers v Longford Town5–2
13 Feb 2026Bray Wanderers v Longford Town1–1
Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

On our numbers Longford Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bray Wanderers 43%.

How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–1 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.