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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Longford Town v Kerry: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Bishopsgate
0–1
FT

Kerry

WDLLW
Longford Town 41%Draw 22%Kerry 37% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.27
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultLongford Town to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86

Longford Town vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kerry travel to face Longford Town on Saturday 5 September in the First Division, with Bishopsgate the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Longford Town, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cobh Ramblers, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Kerry, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Treaty United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jun 2026) it ended Kerry 2–1 Longford Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Longford Town 0 wins, Kerry 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Longford Town 1.4 xG, Kerry 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Longford Town 41%, draw 22%, Kerry 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Longford Town 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Longford Town41%fair 2.43 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Kerry37%fair 2.68 · @2.62
2.62Expected goals
1.35Longford Town xG
1.27Kerry xG
62%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Longford Town 1.4 – 1.3 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLongford Town to win ✗41%2.432.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.62
Draw no betLongford Town (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapKerry +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.95–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
First team to scoreLongford Town to score first ✗48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Longford Town / FT Longford Town ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.86–

Recent results

Longford Town – last 6

DWLLWW
28 Aug@ Cobh Ramblers2–2D
22 Augvs Bray Wanderers4–2W
16 Aug@ Bohemians0–4L
7 Aug@ Athlone Town1–2L
3 Augvs Finn Harps5–0W
31 Jul@ Treaty United1–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kerry – last 6

WDLLWW
28 Augvs Treaty United3–1W
21 Augvs UCD1–1D
15 Aug@ Sligo Rovers0–4L
7 Aug@ Cork City1–3L
3 Augvs Cobh Ramblers3–0W
31 Jul@ Bray Wanderers4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jun 2026Kerry v Longford Town2–1
27 Feb 2026Kerry v Longford Town1–1
Longford Town vs Kerry head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Kerry?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Longford Town vs Kerry?

On our numbers Longford Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kerry 37%.

How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Kerry?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Kerry?

Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Longford Town vs Kerry?

Longford Town vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.