Longford Town 60%Draw 25%Treaty United 15%Expected goals 1.79 – 0.78
85%
Betarazi pick
Longford Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Longford Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLongford Town to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceLongford Town or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Longford Town vs Treaty United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treaty United travel to face Longford Town on Saturday 12 September in the First Division, with Bishopsgate the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Longford Town are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Treaty United are 9th (in the drop zone) with 42.
Current form
Longford Town, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kerry, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Treaty United, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Wexford, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Longford Town, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Treaty United.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Treaty United 0–1 Longford Town. The last 3 head-to-heads: Longford Town 2 wins, Treaty United 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Longford Town 1.8 xG, Treaty United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Longford Town 60%, draw 25%, Treaty United 15%.
Lower-risk option: Longford Town or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Longford Town to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Longford Town or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Longford Town 1–0 Treaty United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Longford Town60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.25
Treaty United15%fair 6.84 · @3.40
2.57Expected goals
1.79Longford Town xG
0.78Treaty United xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Longford Town 1.8 – 0.8 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Longford Town or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Longford Town vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Treaty United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–0 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs Treaty United?
Longford Town vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
