Longford Town 14%Draw 21%Cork City 65%Expected goals 0.88 – 2.09
86%
Betarazi pick
Cork City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cork City to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✗65% · @1.73
Double chanceCork City or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Longford Town vs Cork City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Longford Town v Cork City in the First Division, played at Bishopsgate. In the table, Longford Town are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Cork City are 1st (leading the league) with 75. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Longford Town, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Finn Harps, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cork City, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over UCD, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Longford Town.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Jul 2026) it ended Cork City 3–4 Longford Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Longford Town 1 win, Cork City 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Longford Town 0.9 xG, Cork City 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Longford Town 14%, draw 21%, Cork City 65%.
Lower-risk option: Cork City or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Cork City to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cork City or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Longford Town 0–2 Cork City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Longford Town14%fair 7.06 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
Cork City65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
2.97Expected goals
0.88Longford Town xG
2.09Cork City xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Longford Town 0.9 – 2.1 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Cork City?
Our pick is Cork City or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Longford Town vs Cork City?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cork City 65%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Cork City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 0–2 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs Cork City?
Longford Town vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
