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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Defensa Y Justicia v Deportivo Riestra: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa Y Justicia 47%Draw 28%Deportivo Riestra 24% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.73
76%
Betarazi pick

Defensa Y Justicia or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDefensa Y Justicia to win ✓47% · @2.18
Double chanceDefensa Y Justicia or draw ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.82

Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Defensa Y Justicia welcome Deportivo Riestra to Estadio Norberto Tomaghello for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Wednesday 29 July (21:00 WAT). In the table, Defensa Y Justicia are 14th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Riestra are 28th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aldosivi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Boca Juniors, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Riestra, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Defensa Y Justicia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Defensa Y Justicia 1.3 xG, Deportivo Riestra 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Defensa Y Justicia 47%, draw 28%, Deportivo Riestra 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Defensa Y Justicia or draw (76%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Defensa Y Justicia or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Defensa Y Justicia47%fair 2.12 · @2.18
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.88
Deportivo Riestra24%fair 4.09 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.27Defensa Y Justicia xG
0.73Deportivo Riestra xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
0–013%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.3 – 0.7 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDefensa Y Justicia to win ✓47%2.122.18
Double chanceDefensa Y Justicia or draw ✓76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.57
Draw no betDefensa Y Justicia (draw no bet) ✓66%1.52–
Asian handicapDeportivo Riestra +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.701.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.071.03
First team to scoreDefensa Y Justicia to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Defensa Y Justicia / FT Defensa Y Justicia ✓29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.82–

Recent results

Defensa Y Justicia – last 6

DLLLLL
24 Julvs Aldosivi1–1D
16 Jul@ Racing Club1–4L
4 May@ Gimnasia M.1–2L
24 Aprvs Boca Juniors0–4L
18 Apr@ Independiente1–3L
13 Aprvs Talleres Cordoba1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

WDDLLW
26 Julvs Boca Juniors3–0W
17 Jul@ San Lorenzo1–1D
26 May@ Palestino1–1D
19 May@ Atletico Torque1–4L
5 Mayvs Gremio0–3L
29 Aprvs Atletico Torque2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Defensa Y Justicia and Deportivo Riestra.

Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our pick is Defensa Y Justicia or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Riestra 24%.

How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra?

Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.