Atletico Tucuman v Sarmiento Junin Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Tucuman to win ✗52% · @1.87

Double chanceAtletico Tucuman or draw ✗80% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.25

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06

Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Tucuman welcome Sarmiento Junin to Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 8 August (18:45 WAT). In the table, Atletico Tucuman are 26th, lower half, on 32 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40.

Current form

Atletico Tucuman, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huracan, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sarmiento Junin, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Independ. Rivadavia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atletico Tucuman, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Sarmiento Junin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Tucuman 1.5 xG, Sarmiento Junin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Tucuman 52%, draw 27%, Sarmiento Junin 20%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Tucuman or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Atletico Tucuman or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Tucuman52%fair 1.91 · @1.87

Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.20

Sarmiento Junin20%fair 4.89 · @4.45

2.36Expected goals

1.45Atletico Tucuman xG

0.90Sarmiento Junin xG

51%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

1–112%

2–010%

0–09%

2–19%

0–19%

From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 1.5 – 0.9 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Atletico Tucuman to win ✗	52%	1.91	1.87
Double chance	Atletico Tucuman or draw ✗	80%	1.26	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.98	2.25 ▲
Draw no bet	Atletico Tucuman (draw no bet) ✗	72%	1.39	–
Asian handicap	Sarmiento Junin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	65%	1.53	1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.24	1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	1.04
First team to score	Atletico Tucuman to score first	56%	1.79	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Atletico Tucuman / FT Atletico Tucuman ✗	30%	3.37	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.06	–

Atletico Tucuman – last 6

DWDWDL

4 Aug	@ Huracan	0–0	D
31 Jul	@ Central Cordoba de Santiago	2–0	W
26 Jul	vs Independ. Rivadavia	0–0	D
20 May	@ Talleres Cordoba	3–0	W
27 Apr	vs Banfield	1–1	D
19 Apr	@ Argentinos JRS	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Sarmiento Junin – last 6

WLLLWL

3 Aug	vs Independ. Rivadavia	2–1	W
28 Jul	@ Banfield	2–3	L
23 Jul	vs Argentinos JRS	2–3	L
17 Jul	vs Boca Juniors	0–2	L
25 Apr	vs Tigre	1–0	W
20 Apr	@ Rosario Central	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	+14	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	+10	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	8	5	3	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	+4	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	8	2	6	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	+4	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	0	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	-2	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	3	5	8	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	-13	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	-19	5

Team

Pts

+14

+10

-7

-2

-5

-13

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our pick is Atletico Tucuman or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?

On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sarmiento Junin 20%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?

Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin?

Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Atletico Tucuman v Sarmiento Junin: numbers & prediction