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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

River Plate v Argentinos JRS: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Mâs Monumental
2–0
FT
River Plate 59%Draw 24%Argentinos JRS 17% Expected goals 1.48 – 0.64
83%
Betarazi pick

River Plate or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRiver Plate to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90

River Plate vs Argentinos JRS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 16 August the Liga Profesional Argentina brings River Plate against Argentinos JRS at Estadio Mâs Monumental. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, River Plate are 7th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; Argentinos JRS are 3rd (among the top four) with 60.

Current form

River Plate, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tigre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Argentinos JRS, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Racing Club, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Argentinos JRS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.2 for River Plate.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Argentinos JRS 1–0 River Plate.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.5 xG, Argentinos JRS 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 59%, draw 24%, Argentinos JRS 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: River Plate or draw (83%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was River Plate or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Argentinos JRS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

River Plate59%fair 1.70 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Argentinos JRS17%fair 5.87 · @4.50
2.12Expected goals
1.48River Plate xG
0.64Argentinos JRS xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: River Plate 1.5 – 0.6 Argentinos JRS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiver Plate to win ✓59%1.701.90 ▲
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓83%1.211.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.982.25 ▲
Draw no betRiver Plate (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapArgentinos JRS +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.621.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.04
First team to scoreRiver Plate to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT River Plate / FT River Plate ✓35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.90–

Recent results

River Plate – last 6

LLLLLD
8 Aug@ Tigre0–1L
2 Augvs Rosario Central0–1L
29 Jul@ Gimnasia L.P.0–1L
25 Julvs Barracas Central0–1L
18 Julvs Aldosivi1–3L
3 Jul@ Flamengo2–2D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Argentinos JRS – last 6

WWWWDW
10 Augvs Racing Club2–1W
1 Aug@ Belgrano Cordoba1–0W
29 Julvs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3–0W
23 Jul@ Sarmiento Junin3–2W
13 Mayvs Huracan0–0D
10 Mayvs Lanus2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Argentinos JRS v River Plate1–0
River Plate vs Argentinos JRS head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for River Plate vs Argentinos JRS?

Our pick is River Plate or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win River Plate vs Argentinos JRS?

On our numbers River Plate have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Argentinos JRS 17%.

How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Argentinos JRS?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Argentinos JRS?

Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Argentinos JRS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is River Plate vs Argentinos JRS?

River Plate vs Argentinos JRS (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mâs Monumental.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.