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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aldosivi v Union Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Jose Maria Minella
1–3
FT
Aldosivi 31%Draw 25%Union Santa Fe 44% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.21
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.49

Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Union Santa Fe travel to face Aldosivi on Friday 21 August in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Jose Maria Minella the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Aldosivi are 29th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aldosivi, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tigre, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Union Santa Fe, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Lorenzo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Union Santa Fe 1–0 Aldosivi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aldosivi 1.0 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aldosivi 31%, draw 25%, Union Santa Fe 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldosivi 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aldosivi31%fair 3.21 · @3.55
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.92
Union Santa Fe44%fair 2.27 · @2.25
2.16Expected goals
0.95Aldosivi xG
1.21Union Santa Fe xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%

From our goals model: Aldosivi 1.0 – 1.2 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Santa Fe to win ✓44%2.272.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.852.10 ▲
Draw no betUnion Santa Fe (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapAldosivi +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.571.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.211.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.04
First team to scoreUnion Santa Fe to score first ✗49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe ✗24%4.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.49–

Recent results

Aldosivi – last 6

DLLLDW
15 Augvs Tigre0–0D
7 Aug@ Rosario Central1–2L
2 Augvs Gimnasia L.P.1–2L
29 Jul@ Barracas Central0–1L
24 Jul@ Defensa Y Justicia1–1D
18 Jul@ River Plate3–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Union Santa Fe – last 6

LLWLDL
15 Aug@ San Lorenzo0–1L
11 Augvs Central Cordoba de Santiago1–2L
6 Augvs Lanus2–1W
1 Aug@ Gimnasia M.0–2L
25 Jul@ Platense2–2D
23 Mayvs Independiente0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026Union Santa Fe v Aldosivi1–0
Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?

On our numbers Aldosivi have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Santa Fe 44%.

How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Aldosivi 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe?

Aldosivi vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Maria Minella.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.