Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 32%Draw 25%Sarmiento Junin 43%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.13
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 2.76 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento Junin to win ✓43% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.21
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarmiento Junin travel to face Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto on Friday 4 September in the Liga Profesional Argentina – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are 30th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 32 matches; Sarmiento Junin are 19th (lower half) with 40. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huracan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Union Santa Fe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sarmiento Junin, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.9 xG, Sarmiento Junin 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 32%, draw 25%, Sarmiento Junin 43%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Sarmiento Junin to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Sarmiento Junin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto32%fair 3.10 · @2.76
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.88
Sarmiento Junin43%fair 2.34 · @2.76
2.06Expected goals
0.93Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto xG
1.13Sarmiento Junin xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0.9 – 1.1 Sarmiento Junin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarmiento Junin 43%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Sarmiento Junin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin?
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Platense1
Deportivo Riestra1