Value bet: Gimnasia M. to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.22
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Boca Juniors travel to face Gimnasia M. on Saturday 5 September in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Victor Legrotaglie the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Boca Juniors are 1st (leading the league) with 63. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gimnasia M., last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Independiente, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Boca Juniors, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Velez Sarsfield, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.1 xG, Boca Juniors 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 36%, draw 25%, Boca Juniors 39%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia M. to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 1–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia M.36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.90
Boca Juniors39%fair 2.57 · @2.45
2.21Expected goals
1.08Gimnasia M. xG
1.13Boca Juniors xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.1 – 1.1 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✗
39%
2.57
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia M. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Boca Juniors to score first
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✗
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.22
–
Recent results
Gimnasia M. – last 6
WWWLWL
30 Aug
@ Independiente
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Gimnasia L.P.
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Talleres Cordoba
3–1
W
9 Aug
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Union Santa Fe
2–0
W
28 Jul
@ San Lorenzo
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Boca Juniors – last 6
DWDWDW
3 Sep
@ Velez Sarsfield
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Lanus
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Racing Club
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Deportivo Recoleta
4–0
W
16 Aug
@ Platense
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia M. and Boca Juniors.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors?
On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Boca Juniors 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 1–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors?
Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Victor Legrotaglie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Aldosivi3
Banfield1
Gimnasia L.P.2
Tigre1