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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union Santa Fe v Instituto Cordoba: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio 15 de Abril
3–2
FT
Union Santa Fe 41%Draw 25%Instituto Cordoba 34% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.08
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Union Santa Fe to win @ 2.72 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✓41% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51

Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 8 September the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Union Santa Fe against Instituto Cordoba at Estadio 15 de Abril. Kick-off: 01:15 WAT. In the table, Union Santa Fe are 16th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Instituto Cordoba are 8th (upper half) with 55. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Union Santa Fe, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sarmiento Junin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Instituto Cordoba, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Instituto Cordoba, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Union Santa Fe.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Instituto Cordoba 1–2 Union Santa Fe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union Santa Fe 1.2 xG, Instituto Cordoba 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union Santa Fe 41%, draw 25%, Instituto Cordoba 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Union Santa Fe to win @2.72 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Instituto Cordoba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union Santa Fe41%fair 2.45 · @2.72
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.94
Instituto Cordoba34%fair 2.90 · @2.76
2.29Expected goals
1.21Union Santa Fe xG
1.08Instituto Cordoba xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.2 – 1.1 Instituto Cordoba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Santa Fe to win ✓41%2.452.72 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.00
Draw no betUnion Santa Fe (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapInstituto Cordoba +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.101.05
First team to scoreUnion Santa Fe to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.51–

Recent results

Union Santa Fe – last 6

WWLLWL
28 Augvs Sarmiento Junin4–1W
21 Aug@ Aldosivi3–1W
15 Aug@ San Lorenzo0–1L
11 Augvs Central Cordoba de Santiago1–2L
6 Augvs Lanus2–1W
1 Aug@ Gimnasia M.0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Instituto Cordoba – last 6

WDDWWW
1 Sepvs San Lorenzo1–0W
28 Aug@ Platense1–1D
22 Aug@ Atletico Tucuman0–0D
17 Aug@ Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0W
9 Augvs Gimnasia M.1–0W
3 Aug@ Lanus1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Instituto Cordoba v Union Santa Fe1–2
Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba?

On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Instituto Cordoba 34%.

How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba?

Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–1 Instituto Cordoba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba?

Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.