Value bet: Atletico Tucuman to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.84
Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Atletico Tucuman v River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro. In the table, Atletico Tucuman are 26th, lower half, on 32 points after 32 matches; River Plate are 7th (upper half) with 55. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Racing Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
River Plate, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Independ. Rivadavia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Tucuman 0.9 xG, River Plate 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Tucuman 30%, draw 24%, River Plate 46%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Atletico Tucuman to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Tucuman 0–1 River Plate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Tucuman30%fair 3.35 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
River Plate46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.12Expected goals
0.90Atletico Tucuman xG
1.22River Plate xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 0.9 – 1.2 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✓
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.62
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
River Plate to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.84
–
Recent results
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
WDDWWL
7 Sep
@ Racing Club
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Instituto Cordoba
0–0
D
17 Aug
@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
12 Aug
vs Independiente
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Sarmiento Junin
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
River Plate – last 6
WWDDDW
6 Sep
vs Independ. Rivadavia
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Banfield
3–2
W
27 Aug
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Velez Sarsfield
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Santa Fe
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Argentinos JRS
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Tucuman and River Plate.
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and River Plate 46%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 0–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate?
Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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