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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Velez Sarsfield v Tigre: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield

DWDDD
3–2
FT

Tigre

LLDWL
Velez Sarsfield 44%Draw 26%Tigre 30% Expected goals 1.07 – 0.81
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.15 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.15Odds

Picks by market

ResultVelez Sarsfield to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.13

Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigre travel to face Velez Sarsfield on Monday 21 September in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Jose Amalfitani the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Velez Sarsfield are 6th, upper half, on 56 points after 32 matches; Tigre are 20th (lower half) with 39. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Velez Sarsfield, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Newells Old Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Tigre, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rosario Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Tigre 1–1 Velez Sarsfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Velez Sarsfield 1.1 xG, Tigre 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 26%, Tigre 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velez Sarsfield 1–1 Tigre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Velez Sarsfield44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Tigre30%fair 3.31 · @3.60
1.88Expected goals
1.07Velez Sarsfield xG
0.81Tigre xG
51%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%

From our goals model: Velez Sarsfield 1.1 – 0.8 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVelez Sarsfield to win ✓44%2.272.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.942.15 ▲
Draw no betVelez Sarsfield (draw no bet) ✓59%1.68–
Asian handicapTigre +1 (Asian handicap)78%1.28–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗96%1.04–
First team to scoreVelez Sarsfield to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%14.13–

Recent results

Velez Sarsfield – last 6

DWDDDD
11 Sep@ Newells Old Boys1–1D
6 Sepvs Estudiantes L.P.1–0W
3 Sepvs Boca Juniors0–0D
29 Aug@ Deportivo Riestra1–1D
23 Aug@ River Plate2–2D
17 Augvs Defensa Y Justicia1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Tigre – last 6

LLDWLD
13 Sepvs Rosario Central0–1L
5 Sep@ Gimnasia L.P.1–2L
1 Sepvs Barracas Central0–0D
24 Augvs Central Cordoba de Santiago2–1W
20 Aug@ Atletico Torque1–2L
15 Aug@ Aldosivi0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Tigre v Velez Sarsfield1–1
Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

League hub
FT Aldosivi1 Atletico Tucuman0 134%3.00X25%2.80241%2.45 0.9–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.15 ✗
FT Barracas Central0 Independ. Rivadavia1 133%3.20X25%2.90243%2.30 1.0–1.2xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.65 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre?

On our numbers Velez Sarsfield have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigre 30%.

How many goals will there be in Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre?

Our predicted score is Velez Sarsfield 1–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre?

Velez Sarsfield vs Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Jose Amalfitani.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.