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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Banfield v Rosario Central: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Florencio Sola
1–1
FT
Banfield 17%Draw 23%Rosario Central 59% Expected goals 0.71 – 1.58
83%
Betarazi pick

Rosario Central or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Banfield vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:15 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Banfield v Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Florencio Sola. In the table, Banfield are 25th, lower half, on 33 points after 32 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Banfield, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gimnasia L.P., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Rosario Central, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Estudiantes L.P., away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Banfield.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Rosario Central 2–1 Banfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Banfield 0.7 xG, Rosario Central 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Banfield 17%, draw 23%, Rosario Central 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rosario Central or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Rosario Central to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rosario Central or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Banfield 0–1 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Banfield17%fair 5.74 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Rosario Central59%fair 1.68 · @1.91
2.29Expected goals
0.71Banfield xG
1.58Rosario Central xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Banfield 0.7 – 1.6 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central to win ✗59%1.681.91 ▲
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.991.95
Draw no betRosario Central (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapBanfield +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreRosario Central to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Banfield – last 6

DDDLLL
19 Sep@ Gimnasia L.P.2–2D
14 Sepvs Barracas Central1–1D
9 Sep@ Deportivo Riestra1–1D
5 Sep@ Aldosivi1–3L
30 Augvs River Plate2–3L
23 Aug@ Newells Old Boys1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rosario Central – last 6

WWWDLD
26 Sep@ Estudiantes L.P.3–1W
20 Sepvs Argentinos JRS1–0W
13 Sep@ Tigre1–0W
6 Sepvs Newells Old Boys1–1D
29 Augvs Gimnasia L.P.1–2L
25 Aug@ Talleres Cordoba2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Rosario Central v Banfield2–1
Banfield vs Rosario Central head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Banfield vs Rosario Central?

Our pick is Rosario Central or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Banfield vs Rosario Central?

On our numbers Banfield have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rosario Central 59%.

How many goals will there be in Banfield vs Rosario Central?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Banfield vs Rosario Central?

Our predicted score is Banfield 0–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Banfield vs Rosario Central?

Banfield vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Florencio Sola.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.