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Estudiantes L.P. v Gimnasia M.: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
3–0
FT
Estudiantes L.P. 59%Draw 24%Gimnasia M. 16% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.58
59%
Betarazi pick

Estudiantes L.P. to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.25

Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gimnasia M. travel to face Estudiantes L.P. on Monday 5 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes L.P. are 11th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia M. are 17th (lower half) with 41.

Current form

Estudiantes L.P., last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Platense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Gimnasia M., last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Riestra, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gimnasia M., collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Estudiantes L.P..

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Gimnasia M. 1–2 Estudiantes L.P..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 xG, Gimnasia M. 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes L.P. 59%, draw 24%, Gimnasia M. 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Estudiantes L.P. or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Estudiantes L.P. to win (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Gimnasia M.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estudiantes L.P.59%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
Gimnasia M.16%fair 6.06 · @5.00
2.02Expected goals
1.44Estudiantes L.P. xG
0.58Gimnasia M. xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%

From our goals model: Estudiantes L.P. 1.4 – 0.6 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✓59%1.681.70
Double chanceEstudiantes L.P. or draw ✓84%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.75
Draw no betEstudiantes L.P. (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapGimnasia M. +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreEstudiantes L.P. to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Estudiantes L.P. / FT Estudiantes L.P. ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.25–

Recent results

Estudiantes L.P. – last 6

LLLWWD
2 Oct@ Platense0–1L
26 Sepvs Rosario Central1–3L
22 Sep@ Lanus1–2L
17 Sep@ Corinthians1–0W
12 Sepvs Platense2–1W
10 Sepvs Corinthians1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gimnasia M. – last 6

DLDWWW
19 Sepvs Deportivo Riestra0–0D
11 Sep@ Defensa Y Justicia0–2L
5 Sepvs Boca Juniors2–2D
30 Aug@ Independiente3–0W
22 Aug@ Gimnasia L.P.3–2W
18 Augvs Talleres Cordoba3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Gimnasia M. v Estudiantes L.P.1–2
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

Our pick is Estudiantes L.P. to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

On our numbers Estudiantes L.P. have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia M. 16%.

How many goals will there be in Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

Our predicted score is Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M.?

Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.