Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
River Plate travel to face Sarmiento Junin on Wednesday 14 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Eva Peron the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; River Plate are 7th (upper half) with 55. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sarmiento Junin, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Aldosivi, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
River Plate, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended River Plate 2–0 Sarmiento Junin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 0.8 xG, River Plate 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 18%, draw 22%, River Plate 61%.
Lower-risk option: River Plate or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was River Plate to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 0–1 River Plate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin18%fair 5.67 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.25
River Plate61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
2.47Expected goals
0.77Sarmiento Junin xG
1.70River Plate xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 0.8 – 1.7 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
Our pick is River Plate to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and River Plate 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 0–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate?
Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Peron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
