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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Lorenzo v Deportivo Riestra: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Pedro Bidegain
1–0
FT
San Lorenzo 39%Draw 27%Deportivo Riestra 34% Expected goals 0.82 – 0.73
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Deportivo Riestra to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSan Lorenzo to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.75

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Lorenzo welcome Deportivo Riestra to Estadio Pedro Bidegain for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Sunday 11 October (18:45 WAT). In the table, San Lorenzo are 18th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Riestra are 28th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

San Lorenzo, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Defensa Y Justicia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Central Cordoba de Santiago, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended San Lorenzo 1–1 Deportivo Riestra. The last 2 head-to-heads: San Lorenzo 0 wins, Deportivo Riestra 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo 0.8 xG, Deportivo Riestra 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo 39%, draw 27%, Deportivo Riestra 34%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Riestra to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo 0–0 Deportivo Riestra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Lorenzo39%fair 2.55 · @2.45
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.62
Deportivo Riestra34%fair 2.94 · @3.25
1.55Expected goals
0.82San Lorenzo xG
0.73Deportivo Riestra xG
47%Both score
20%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–021%
1–017%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: San Lorenzo 0.8 – 0.7 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Lorenzo to win ✓39%2.552.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.53
Draw no betSan Lorenzo (draw no bet) ✓54%1.87–
Asian handicapDeportivo Riestra +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓54%1.85–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreSan Lorenzo to score first ✓42%2.40–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓57%1.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.75–

Recent results

San Lorenzo – last 6

LLDWLD
3 Oct@ Defensa Y Justicia0–3L
20 Sepvs Boca Juniors0–2L
13 Sep@ Independiente1–1D
5 Sepvs Talleres Cordoba1–0W
1 Sep@ Instituto Cordoba0–1L
22 Aug@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

DDLDDD
5 Octvs Central Cordoba de Santiago1–1D
19 Sep@ Gimnasia M.0–0D
14 Sepvs Lanus0–3L
9 Sepvs Banfield1–1D
4 Sep@ Platense1–1D
29 Augvs Velez Sarsfield1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026San Lorenzo v Deportivo Riestra1–1
25 Mar 2026Deportivo Riestra v San Lorenzo1–1
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Riestra 34%.

How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 0–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.