Value bet: Defensa Y Justicia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Santa Fe to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Union Santa Fe against Defensa Y Justicia at Estadio 15 de Abril. Kick-off: 01:45 WAT. In the table, Union Santa Fe are 16th, lower half, on 42 points after 32 matches; Defensa Y Justicia are 14th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Union Santa Fe, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Boca Juniors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Defensa Y Justicia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Union Santa Fe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Santa Fe 1.4 xG, Defensa Y Justicia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Santa Fe 39%, draw 24%, Defensa Y Justicia 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Defensa Y Justicia to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Santa Fe 1–1 Defensa Y Justicia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Santa Fe39%fair 2.54 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Defensa Y Justicia36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
2.70Expected goals
1.38Union Santa Fe xG
1.32Defensa Y Justicia xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union Santa Fe 1.4 – 1.3 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Santa Fe to win✗
39%
2.54
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Union Santa Fe (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Defensa Y Justicia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Union Santa Fe to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Santa Fe / FT Union Santa Fe✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Union Santa Fe – last 6
LLLWWW
3 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Independiente
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Instituto Cordoba
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Sarmiento Junin
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Aldosivi
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Defensa Y Justicia – last 6
WDWLWW
3 Oct
vs San Lorenzo
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Gimnasia M.
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Lanus
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Platense
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Belgrano Cordoba
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Santa Fe and Defensa Y Justicia.
What is the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
On our numbers Union Santa Fe have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Defensa Y Justicia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Our predicted score is Union Santa Fe 1–1 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 15 de Abril.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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