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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
2–3
FT
Atletico Tucuman 28%Draw 25%Rosario Central 47% Expected goals 0.87 – 1.25
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 2.10 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.10Odds
2

Value bet: Rosario Central to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.25

Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Atletico Tucuman v Rosario Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro. In the table, Atletico Tucuman are 26th, lower half, on 32 points after 32 matches; Rosario Central are 2nd (among the top four) with 62. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Tucuman, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gimnasia L.P., away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Rosario Central, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Independ. Rivadavia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Atletico Tucuman.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Rosario Central 2–1 Atletico Tucuman.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Tucuman 0.9 xG, Rosario Central 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Tucuman 28%, draw 25%, Rosario Central 47%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Rosario Central to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Rosario Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Tucuman28%fair 3.57 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.90
Rosario Central47%fair 2.11 · @2.30
2.12Expected goals
0.87Atletico Tucuman xG
1.25Rosario Central xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 0.9 – 1.3 Rosario Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central to win ✓47%2.112.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.992.10 ▲
Draw no betRosario Central (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapAtletico Tucuman +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗94%1.07–
First team to scoreRosario Central to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.25–

Recent results

Atletico Tucuman – last 6

DLLDLW
9 Oct@ Gimnasia L.P.1–1D
3 Octvs Barracas Central2–3L
21 Sep@ Aldosivi0–1L
16 Sep@ Independ. Rivadavia1–1D
12 Sepvs River Plate1–2L
7 Sep@ Racing Club2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rosario Central – last 6

WDWWWD
11 Octvs Independ. Rivadavia5–0W
6 Oct@ Banfield1–1D
26 Sep@ Estudiantes L.P.3–1W
20 Sepvs Argentinos JRS1–0W
13 Sep@ Tigre1–0W
6 Sepvs Newells Old Boys1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Rosario Central v Atletico Tucuman2–1
Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Rosario Central 47%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Rosario Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central?

Atletico Tucuman vs Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.