Value bet: Union Santa Fe to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Riestra to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.84
Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Santa Fe travel to face Deportivo Riestra on Tuesday 20 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Guillermo Laza the venue – the ball rolls at 01:15 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Riestra are 28th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Riestra, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Lorenzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Union Santa Fe, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Defensa Y Justicia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Riestra 1.2 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Riestra 42%, draw 25%, Union Santa Fe 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Union Santa Fe to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Riestra42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Union Santa Fe33%fair 3.00 · @3.60
2.16Expected goals
1.17Deportivo Riestra xG
0.99Union Santa Fe xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Riestra 1.2 – 1.0 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Riestra to win✗
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Riestra (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Union Santa Fe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Deportivo Riestra to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Riestra / FT Deportivo Riestra✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
Deportivo Riestra – last 6
LDDLDD
11 Oct
@ San Lorenzo
0–1
L
5 Oct
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Gimnasia M.
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Lanus
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Banfield
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Platense
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 6
LLLLWW
10 Oct
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Independiente
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Instituto Cordoba
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Sarmiento Junin
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Riestra and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Deportivo Riestra have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Santa Fe 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Laza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
