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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Platense v Lanus: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT

Lanus

WDWWW
Platense 29%Draw 26%Lanus 45% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.15
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 2.25 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.25Odds
2

Value bet: Lanus to win @ 2.70 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLanus to win ✓45% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.14

Platense vs Lanus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lanus travel to face Platense on Saturday 17 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Platense are 24th, lower half, on 36 points after 32 matches; Lanus are 9th (upper half) with 50. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Platense, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentinos JRS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Lanus, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Velez Sarsfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lanus, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Platense.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Lanus 0–0 Platense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Platense 0.8 xG, Lanus 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Platense 29%, draw 26%, Lanus 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Lanus to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense 1–1 Lanus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Platense29%fair 3.42 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Lanus45%fair 2.23 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.85Platense xG
1.15Lanus xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Platense 0.8 – 1.2 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLanus to win ✓45%2.232.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.25 ▲
Draw no betLanus (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapPlatense +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreLanus to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lanus / FT Lanus ✓24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.14–

Recent results

Platense – last 6

DDWLWL
11 Octvs Argentinos JRS1–1D
5 Oct@ Velez Sarsfield2–2D
2 Octvs Estudiantes L.P.1–0W
20 Sepvs Newells Old Boys0–1L
15 Sepvs Fluminense2–1W
12 Sep@ Estudiantes L.P.1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lanus – last 6

WDWWWL
12 Octvs Velez Sarsfield2–0W
3 Oct@ Newells Old Boys0–0D
22 Sepvs Estudiantes L.P.2–1W
14 Sep@ Deportivo Riestra3–0W
6 Sepvs Defensa Y Justicia1–0W
29 Aug@ Boca Juniors0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Lanus v Platense0–0
Platense vs Lanus head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Platense vs Lanus?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.

Who will win Platense vs Lanus?

On our numbers Platense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lanus 45%.

How many goals will there be in Platense vs Lanus?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Platense vs Lanus?

Our predicted score is Platense 1–1 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Platense vs Lanus?

Platense vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.