Value bet: Lanus to win @ 2.70 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLanus to win ✓45% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.14
Platense vs Lanus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lanus travel to face Platense on Saturday 17 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Platense are 24th, lower half, on 36 points after 32 matches; Lanus are 9th (upper half) with 50. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Platense, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentinos JRS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Lanus, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Velez Sarsfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lanus, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Platense.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Lanus 0–0 Platense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Platense 0.8 xG, Lanus 1.2 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Platense 29%, draw 26%, Lanus 45%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Lanus to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.25 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Platense 1–1 Lanus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Platense29%fair 3.42 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.75
Lanus45%fair 2.23 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.85Platense xG
1.15Lanus xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Platense 0.8 – 1.2 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Platense vs Lanus?
On our numbers Platense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lanus 45%.
How many goals will there be in Platense vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Platense vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Platense 1–1 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Platense vs Lanus?
Platense vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.