Value bet: Newells Old Boys to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewells Old Boys to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.23
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newells Old Boys travel to face San Lorenzo on Saturday 24 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Pedro Bidegain the venue – the ball rolls at 23:15 WAT. In the table, San Lorenzo are 18th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Newells Old Boys are 22nd (lower half) with 38. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
San Lorenzo, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estudiantes L.P., away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Newells Old Boys, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Central Cordoba de Santiago, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo 1.0 xG, Newells Old Boys 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo 36%, draw 26%, Newells Old Boys 37%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Newells Old Boys to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo 0–1 Newells Old Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Lorenzo36%fair 2.76 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.70
Newells Old Boys37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
1.98Expected goals
0.98San Lorenzo xG
1.00Newells Old Boys xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–014%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo 1.0 – 1.0 Newells Old Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newells Old Boys to win✗
37%
2.67
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.60
Draw no bet
Newells Old Boys (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
San Lorenzo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Newells Old Boys to score first✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.23
–
Recent results
San Lorenzo – last 6
WWLLDW
18 Oct
@ Estudiantes L.P.
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Deportivo Riestra
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Defensa Y Justicia
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Boca Juniors
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Independiente
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Talleres Cordoba
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newells Old Boys – last 6
WLDWDD
19 Oct
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
2–1
W
12 Oct
@ Gimnasia M.
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Lanus
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Platense
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Rosario Central
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
On our numbers San Lorenzo have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Newells Old Boys 37%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo 0–1 Newells Old Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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