Newells Old Boys 60%Draw 25%Union Santa Fe 16%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.79
84%
Betarazi pick
Newells Old Boys or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Newells Old Boys to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewells Old Boys to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceNewells Old Boys or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union Santa Fe travel to face Newells Old Boys on Sunday 1 November in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Marcelo Bielsa the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Newells Old Boys, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Lorenzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Union Santa Fe, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Estudiantes L.P., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newells Old Boys, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Union Santa Fe.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Union Santa Fe 2–3 Newells Old Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.8 xG, Union Santa Fe 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 60%, draw 25%, Union Santa Fe 16%.
Lower-risk option: Newells Old Boys or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Newells Old Boys to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newells Old Boys or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 1–0 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newells Old Boys60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.10
Union Santa Fe16%fair 6.44 · @3.90
2.55Expected goals
1.76Newells Old Boys xG
0.79Union Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.8 – 0.8 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Newells Old Boys or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Santa Fe 16%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–0 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe?
Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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