América W 64%Draw 19%Monterrey W 17%Expected goals 2.41 – 1.36
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win ✗64% · @1.37
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
América W vs Monterrey W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 16 February the Liga MX Femenil brings América W against Monterrey W at Estadio Azteca. Kick-off: 02:05 WAT. In the table, América W are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 14 matches; Monterrey W are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give América W 2.4 xG, Monterrey W 1.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – América W 64%, draw 19%, Monterrey W 17%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: América W 2–1 Monterrey W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
América W64%fair 1.56 · @1.37
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.85
Monterrey W17%fair 6.03 · @7.40
3.77Expected goals
2.41América W xG
1.36Monterrey W xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: América W 2.4 – 1.4 Monterrey W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
América W
Monterrey W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+108%
+67%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
-34%
Our expected goals here
2.55
1.74
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✗
64%
1.56
1.37
Double chance
América W or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
América W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.22
First team to score
América W to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
América W
No recent results on record.
Monterrey W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and Monterrey W.
What is the prediction for América W vs Monterrey W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win América W vs Monterrey W?
On our numbers América W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Monterrey W 17%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs Monterrey W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs Monterrey W?
Our predicted score is América W 2–1 Monterrey W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is América W vs Monterrey W?
América W vs Monterrey W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
