Tijuana W 46%Draw 21%León W 34%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.67
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: León W to win @ 3.65 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTijuana W to win ✓46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.38
Tijuana W vs León W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
León W travel to face Tijuana W on Sunday 22 February in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Caliente the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Tijuana W are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 14 matches; León W are 7th (upper half) with 25. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tijuana W 1.6 xG, León W 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tijuana W 46%, draw 21%, León W 34%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: León W to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tijuana W 1–1 León W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tijuana W46%fair 2.20 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.70
León W34%fair 2.97 · @3.65
3.25Expected goals
1.58Tijuana W xG
1.67León W xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Tijuana W 1.6 – 1.7 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tijuana W
León W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-20%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.99
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tijuana W to win✓
46%
2.20
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Draw no bet
Tijuana W (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Tijuana W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
León W to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT León W / FT León W✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
Tijuana W – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
León W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and León W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tijuana W vs León W?
On our numbers Tijuana W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and León W 34%.
How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs León W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs León W?
Our predicted score is Tijuana W 1–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tijuana W vs León W?
Tijuana W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W2