Atlético San Luis W 71%Draw 17%Puebla W 13%Expected goals 2.52 – 1.15
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlético San Luis W to win ✓71% · @1.24
Double chanceAtlético San Luis W or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Atlético San Luis W vs Puebla W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético San Luis W welcome Puebla W to Estadio Alfonso Lastras for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Thursday 12 March (02:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético San Luis W are 11th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Puebla W are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético San Luis W 2.5 xG, Puebla W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético San Luis W 71%, draw 17%, Puebla W 13%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético San Luis W 2–1 Puebla W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético San Luis W71%fair 1.41 · @1.24
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @5.70
Puebla W13%fair 7.83 · @11.50
3.67Expected goals
2.52Atlético San Luis W xG
1.15Puebla W xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Atlético San Luis W 2.5 – 1.1 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlético San Luis W
Puebla W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-5%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+54%
Our expected goals here
2.76
1.50
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético San Luis W to win✓
71%
1.41
1.24
Double chance
Atlético San Luis W or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Atlético San Luis W (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Atlético San Luis W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
First team to score
Atlético San Luis W to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Atlético San Luis W ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético San Luis W / FT Atlético San Luis W✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Atlético San Luis W – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Monterrey W
0–6
L
17 Feb
vs Querétaro W
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 2
LL
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético San Luis W and Puebla W.
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis W vs Puebla W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atlético San Luis W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers Atlético San Luis W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Puebla W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético San Luis W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético San Luis W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is Atlético San Luis W 2–1 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Atlético San Luis W vs Puebla W?
Atlético San Luis W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfonso Lastras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
