Toluca W 60%Draw 22%Pumas UNAM W 18%Expected goals 2.18 – 1.28
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toluca W welcome Pumas UNAM W for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Friday 13 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; Pumas UNAM W are 9th (upper half) with 20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 2.2 xG, Pumas UNAM W 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 60%, draw 22%, Pumas UNAM W 18%.
Lower-risk option: Toluca W or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 2–1 Pumas UNAM W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca W60%fair 1.68 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.33
Pumas UNAM W18%fair 5.43 · @5.10
3.46Expected goals
2.18Toluca W xG
1.28Pumas UNAM W xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.2 – 1.3 Pumas UNAM W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Toluca W
Pumas UNAM W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+17%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+2%
Our expected goals here
2.23
1.47
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Double chance
Toluca W or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Toluca W (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Pumas UNAM W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
First team to score
Toluca W to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Toluca W – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Santos Laguna W
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Pumas UNAM W – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Pumas UNAM W.
What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pumas UNAM W 18%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 Pumas UNAM W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0