América W vs León W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
León W travel to face América W on Saturday 14 March in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Azteca the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, América W are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 14 matches; León W are 7th (upper half) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give América W 3.2 xG, León W 1.0 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 79% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – América W 80%, draw 13%, León W 8%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: América W 3–1 León W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
América W80%fair 1.26 · @1.10
Draw13%fair 7.85 · @8.00
León W8%fair 12.98 · @17.00
4.17Expected goals
3.19América W xG
0.98León W xG
56%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–08%
3–18%
2–08%
2–18%
4–07%
4–17%
From our goals model: América W 3.2 – 1.0 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
América W
León W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+108%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
-11%
Our expected goals here
3.44
1.03
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
80%
1.26
1.10
Double chance
América W or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
América W -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
First team to score
América W to score first
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
58%
1.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.21
–
Recent results
América W – last 2
LD
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
16 Feb
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
León W – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and León W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win América W vs León W?
On our numbers América W have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 13% and León W 8%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs León W?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs León W?
Our predicted score is América W 3–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is América W vs León W?
América W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
