Puebla W 4%Draw 9%América W 87%Expected goals 0.83 – 3.59
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 3.20 – our chance 50% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +60%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win87% · @1.03
Double chanceAmérica W or draw96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @3.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–38% · fair 12.98
Puebla W vs América W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Puebla W v América W in the Liga MX Femenil. In the table, Puebla W are 17th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 14 matches; América W are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Puebla W, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juárez W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
América W, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Toluca W, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours América W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Puebla W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puebla W 0.8 xG, América W 3.6 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puebla W 4%, draw 9%, América W 87%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 3.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puebla W 0–4 América W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puebla W4%fair 24.00 · @101.00
Draw9%fair 11.45 · @11.00
América W87%fair 1.15 · @1.03
4.42Expected goals
0.83Puebla W xG
3.59América W xG
50%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–39%
0–48%
0–28%
1–38%
1–47%
1–26%
From our goals model: Puebla W 0.8 – 3.6 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Puebla W
América W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-17%
+108%
Goals conceded vs average
+54%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.98
4.00
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win
87%
1.15
1.03
Double chance
América W or draw
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
1.99
3.20 ▲
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)
95%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
América W -2 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
51%
1.96
2.00
First team to score
América W to score first
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time
68%
1.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W
65%
1.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3
8%
12.98
–
Recent results
Puebla W – last 4
LLLL
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
América W – last 4
WWLD
17 Mar
vs Toluca W
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs León W
4–2
W
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
16 Feb
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla W and América W.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Puebla W vs América W?
On our numbers Puebla W have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 9% and América W 87%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla W vs América W?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla W vs América W?
Our predicted score is Puebla W 0–4 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Puebla W vs América W?
Puebla W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
