Atlético San Luis W 10%Draw 16%Tigres UANL W 74%Expected goals 0.96 – 2.70
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 56% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTigres UANL W to win ✓74% · @1.19
Double chanceTigres UANL W or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Atlético San Luis W vs Tigres UANL W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 23 March: Atlético San Luis W v Tigres UANL W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Alfonso Lastras. In the table, Atlético San Luis W are 11th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Tigres UANL W are 3rd (among the top four) with 35. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlético San Luis W, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Necaxa W, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Tigres UANL W, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Querétaro W, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tigres UANL W, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.8 for Atlético San Luis W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético San Luis W 1.0 xG, Tigres UANL W 2.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético San Luis W 10%, draw 16%, Tigres UANL W 74%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético San Luis W 1–2 Tigres UANL W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético San Luis W10%fair 9.79 · @17.50
Draw16%fair 6.36 · @5.80
Tigres UANL W74%fair 1.35 · @1.19
3.67Expected goals
0.96Atlético San Luis W xG
2.70Tigres UANL W xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–29%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Atlético San Luis W 1.0 – 2.7 Tigres UANL W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlético San Luis W
Tigres UANL W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-5%
+68%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
-37%
Our expected goals here
1.12
3.05
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL W to win✓
74%
1.35
1.19
Double chance
Tigres UANL W or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL W (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Tigres UANL W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
First team to score
Tigres UANL W to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Tigres UANL W ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL W / FT Tigres UANL W✓
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Atlético San Luis W – last 4
DWLW
15 Mar
@ Necaxa W
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Puebla W
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Monterrey W
0–6
L
17 Feb
vs Querétaro W
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tigres UANL W – last 5
WWWDW
16 Mar
vs Querétaro W
6–0
W
13 Mar
vs Santos Laguna W
4–1
W
21 Feb
@ Pumas UNAM W
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Mazatlán W
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Puebla W
4–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético San Luis W and Tigres UANL W.
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Atlético San Luis W vs Tigres UANL W?
On our numbers Atlético San Luis W have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Tigres UANL W 74%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético San Luis W vs Tigres UANL W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético San Luis W vs Tigres UANL W?
Our predicted score is Atlético San Luis W 1–2 Tigres UANL W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Atlético San Luis W vs Tigres UANL W?
Atlético San Luis W vs Tigres UANL W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfonso Lastras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
