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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

León W v Atlas W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
4–0
FT
León W 64%Draw 20%Atlas W 16% Expected goals 2.29 – 1.06
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeón W to win ✓64% · @1.47
Double chanceLeón W or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26

León W vs Atlas W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 24 March the Liga MX Femenil brings León W against Atlas W. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, León W are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 14 matches; Atlas W are 13th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

León W, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mazatlán W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Atlas W, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Monterrey W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atlas W, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for León W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give León W 2.3 xG, Atlas W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – León W 64%, draw 20%, Atlas W 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: León W or draw (84%) at 1.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: León W 2–1 Atlas W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

León W64%fair 1.57 · @1.47
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.33
Atlas W16%fair 6.24 · @4.80
3.35Expected goals
2.29León W xG
1.06Atlas W xG
52%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: León W 2.3 – 1.1 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

León WAtlas W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average-1%-34%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+16%
Our expected goals here2.150.96

Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeón W to win ✓64%1.571.47
Double chanceLeón W or draw ✓84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betLeón W (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapLeón W -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.801.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.361.29
First team to scoreLeón W to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultLeón W ahead at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT León W / FT León W ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.26–

Recent results

León W – last 3

LLL
17 Marvs Mazatlán W1–3L
14 Mar@ América W2–4L
22 Feb@ Tijuana W1–2L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Atlas W – last 4

LWLL
17 Marvs Monterrey W0–3L
13 Mar@ Querétaro W1–0W
21 Febvs Cruz Azul W4–6L
17 Feb@ Guadalajara W2–4L
1.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between León W and Atlas W.

León W vs Atlas W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for León W vs Atlas W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win León W vs Atlas W?

On our numbers León W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlas W 16%.

How many goals will there be in León W vs Atlas W?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for León W vs Atlas W?

Our predicted score is León W 2–1 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is León W vs Atlas W?

León W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.