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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigres UANL W v América W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Universitario
0–1
FT
Tigres UANL W 28%Draw 21%América W 51% Expected goals 1.65 – 2.05
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAmérica W to win ✓51% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Tigres UANL W vs América W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

América W travel to face Tigres UANL W on Thursday 26 March in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Universitario the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Tigres UANL W are 3rd, among the top four, on 35 points after 14 matches; América W are 1st (leading the league) with 37. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tigres UANL W, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlético San Luis W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

América W, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Toluca W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Tigres UANL W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for América W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL W 1.7 xG, América W 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL W 28%, draw 21%, América W 51%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL W 1–2 América W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigres UANL W28%fair 3.53 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.75
América W51%fair 1.97 · @1.90
3.70Expected goals
1.65Tigres UANL W xG
2.05América W xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%

From our goals model: Tigres UANL W 1.7 – 2.0 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tigres UANL WAmérica W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average+68%+108%
Goals conceded vs average-37%-37%
Our expected goals here1.992.14

Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmérica W to win ✓51%1.971.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.48
Draw no betAmérica W (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapTigres UANL W +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.191.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.521.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.811.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.371.22
First team to scoreAmérica W to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultAmérica W ahead at half-time ✓38%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT América W / FT América W ✓29%3.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

Tigres UANL W – last 6

WWWWDW
23 Mar@ Atlético San Luis W2–0W
16 Marvs Querétaro W6–0W
13 Marvs Santos Laguna W4–1W
21 Feb@ Pumas UNAM W2–0W
17 Feb@ Mazatlán W0–0D
14 Febvs Puebla W4–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

América W – last 4

WWLD
17 Marvs Toluca W2–0W
14 Marvs León W4–2W
11 Mar@ Guadalajara W2–3L
16 Febvs Monterrey W1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL W and América W.

Tigres UANL W vs América W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigres UANL W vs América W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Tigres UANL W vs América W?

On our numbers Tigres UANL W have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and América W 51%.

How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL W vs América W?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL W vs América W?

Our predicted score is Tigres UANL W 1–2 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Tigres UANL W vs América W?

Tigres UANL W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.