Tijuana W 23%Draw 22%Guadalajara W 55%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.97
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Guadalajara W to win @ 1.96 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara W to win ✗55% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Tijuana W vs Guadalajara W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara W travel to face Tijuana W on Monday 30 March in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Caliente the venue – the ball rolls at 02:06 WAT. In the table, Tijuana W are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 14 matches; Guadalajara W are 4th (among the top four) with 30. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tijuana W, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Querétaro W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Guadalajara W, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Monterrey W, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tijuana W 1.1 xG, Guadalajara W 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tijuana W 23%, draw 22%, Guadalajara W 55%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Guadalajara W to win @1.96 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tijuana W 1–1 Guadalajara W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tijuana W23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.65
Guadalajara W55%fair 1.83 · @1.96
3.04Expected goals
1.07Tijuana W xG
1.97Guadalajara W xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Tijuana W 1.1 – 2.0 Guadalajara W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tijuana W
Guadalajara W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-20%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-31%
Our expected goals here
1.03
2.29
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara W to win✗
55%
1.83
1.96 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Draw no bet
Guadalajara W (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Tijuana W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
First team to score
Guadalajara W to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara W ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara W / FT Guadalajara W✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Tijuana W – last 5
WWLWD
22 Mar
@ Querétaro W
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Pachuca W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs León W
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Guadalajara W – last 4
DDWW
21 Mar
@ Monterrey W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs América W
3–2
W
17 Feb
vs Atlas W
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and Guadalajara W.
What is the prediction for Tijuana W vs Guadalajara W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tijuana W vs Guadalajara W?
On our numbers Tijuana W have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Guadalajara W 55%.
How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs Guadalajara W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs Guadalajara W?
Our predicted score is Tijuana W 1–1 Guadalajara W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tijuana W vs Guadalajara W?
Tijuana W vs Guadalajara W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
