Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 55% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win ✓87% · @1.06
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.76
América W vs Atlas W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlas W travel to face América W on Thursday 2 April in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Azteca the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, América W are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 14 matches; Atlas W are 13th (lower half) with 17. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
América W, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tigres UANL W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Atlas W, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Necaxa W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours América W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Atlas W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give América W 3.8 xG, Atlas W 0.8 xG – a total near 4.6. That is an open game on paper: 84% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – América W 87%, draw 9%, Atlas W 5%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: América W 4–0 Atlas W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
América W87%fair 1.15 · @1.06
Draw9%fair 11.51 · @11.50
Atlas W5%fair 22.22 · @24.00
4.58Expected goals
3.82América W xG
0.77Atlas W xG
55%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–09%
4–09%
2–07%
3–17%
4–17%
5–07%
From our goals model: América W 3.8 – 0.8 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
América W
Atlas W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+108%
-34%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
+16%
Our expected goals here
4.49
0.68
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Double chance
América W or draw✓
95%
1.05
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)✓
95%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
América W -2 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
First team to score
América W to score first✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
69%
1.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.76
–
Recent results
América W – last 5
WWWLD
26 Mar
@ Tigres UANL W
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Toluca W
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs León W
4–2
W
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
16 Feb
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Atlas W – last 6
WLLWLL
28 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–2
W
24 Mar
@ León W
0–4
L
17 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Querétaro W
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
4–6
L
17 Feb
@ Guadalajara W
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and Atlas W.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win América W vs Atlas W?
On our numbers América W have a 87% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Atlas W 5%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs Atlas W?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs Atlas W?
Our predicted score is América W 4–0 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is América W vs Atlas W?
América W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
