Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 March the USL Championship brings Birmingham Legion against Hartford Athletic at Protective Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Hartford Athletic are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.3 xG, Hartford Athletic 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 35%, draw 25%, Hartford Athletic 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham Legion35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.35
Hartford Athletic40%fair 2.50 · @2.50
2.60Expected goals
1.26Birmingham Legion xG
1.35Hartford Athletic xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.3 – 1.3 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Birmingham Legion
Hartford Athletic
Attack vs USL Championship average
-2%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.50
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartford Athletic to win✗
40%
2.50
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Draw no bet
Hartford Athletic (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham Legion +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Hartford Athletic to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Birmingham Legion – last 1
L
8 Mar
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 1
W
8 Mar
@ Sporting JAX
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hartford Athletic 40%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic?
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
