Loudoun United 25%Draw 24%Louisville City 51%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.78
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultLouisville City to win ✗51% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Loudoun United vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 10 April the USL Championship brings Loudoun United against Louisville City at Segra Field. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Loudoun United are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 30 matches; Louisville City are 4th (among the top four) with 47. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Loudoun United, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Richmond Kickers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Louisville City, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lexington, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Louisville City, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Loudoun United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Loudoun United 1.4 xG, Louisville City 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Loudoun United 25%, draw 24%, Louisville City 51%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loudoun United 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Loudoun United25%fair 3.99 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.40
Louisville City51%fair 1.96 · @1.80
3.13Expected goals
1.36Loudoun United xG
1.78Louisville City xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Loudoun United 1.4 – 1.8 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Loudoun United
Louisville City
Attack vs USL Championship average
-4%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.56
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Draw no bet
Louisville City (draw no bet)
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Loudoun United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Louisville City to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Loudoun United – last 4
LLWL
1 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ West Chester United
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 5
WWWWW
2 Apr
@ Lexington
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Southern Indiana
2–0
W
7 Mar
@ Lexington
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ FC Cincinnati
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loudoun United and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Loudoun United have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Louisville City 51%.
How many goals will there be in Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Loudoun United 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Loudoun United vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Segra Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
