El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Tulsa travel to face El Paso Locomotive on Thursday 30 April in the USL Championship, with Southwest University Park the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orange County SC, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
FC Tulsa, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oakland Roots, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for FC Tulsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 1.5 xG, FC Tulsa 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 45%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 29%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.40
FC Tulsa29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
2.62Expected goals
1.50El Paso Locomotive xG
1.12FC Tulsa xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.5 – 1.1 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
El Paso Locomotive
FC Tulsa
Attack vs USL Championship average
+11%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.93
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✗
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
FC Tulsa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WLLWWW
26 Apr
@ Orange County SC
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs San Antonio
2–3
L
16 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–4
L
12 Apr
@ Hartford Athletic
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
2 Apr
@ New Mexico United
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Tulsa – last 6
DLLDDW
19 Apr
@ Oakland Roots
1–1
D
16 Apr
@ St. Louis City
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Orange County SC
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ San Antonio
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Phoenix Rising
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and FC Tulsa.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Tulsa 29%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
