Detroit City vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Saturday 2 May: Detroit City v Louisville City in the USL Championship, played at Keyworth Stadium. In the table, Detroit City are 3rd, among the top four, on 51 points after 30 matches; Louisville City are 4th (among the top four) with 47.
Current form
Detroit City, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pittsburgh Riverhounds, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Louisville City, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Houston Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Louisville City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Detroit City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Detroit City 1.2 xG, Louisville City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Detroit City 35%, draw 28%, Louisville City 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Detroit City 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Detroit City35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.20
Louisville City37%fair 2.69 · @2.25
2.36Expected goals
1.23Detroit City xG
1.13Louisville City xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Detroit City 1.2 – 1.1 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Detroit City
Louisville City
Attack vs USL Championship average
-20%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-37%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.18
0.89
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✗
37%
2.69
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Louisville City (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Louisville City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Detroit City to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Detroit City / FT Detroit City✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.53
–
Recent results
Detroit City – last 5
LLWLW
19 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Chicago Fire
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Flint City Bucks
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Indy Eleven
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Michigan Rangers
5–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 6
DWWDWW
30 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Austin
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Loudoun United
3–3
D
2 Apr
@ Lexington
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Brooklyn
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Detroit City and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Detroit City vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Detroit City have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Louisville City 37%.
How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Louisville City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Detroit City 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Detroit City vs Louisville City?
Detroit City vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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