New Mexico United 42%Draw 24%El Paso Locomotive 34%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.31
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✗42% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Paso Locomotive travel to face New Mexico United on Thursday 7 May in the USL Championship, with Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FC Tulsa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended New Mexico United 0–4 El Paso Locomotive.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.7 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 42%, draw 24%, El Paso Locomotive 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United42%fair 2.41 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.45
El Paso Locomotive34%fair 2.93 · @2.60
3.00Expected goals
1.68New Mexico United xG
1.31El Paso Locomotive xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.7 – 1.3 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
Attack vs USL Championship average
+23%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.66
1.05
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and El Paso Locomotive 34%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive?
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
