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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Miami FC v Orange County SC: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Riccardo Silva Stadium
2–4
FT
Miami FC 42%Draw 24%Orange County SC 34% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.36
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiami FC to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89

Miami FC vs Orange County SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 25 June the USL Championship brings Miami FC against Orange County SC at Riccardo Silva Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Orange County SC are 9th (lower half) with 39. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Miami FC, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oakland Roots, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Orange County SC, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Las Vegas Lights, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 1.7 xG, Orange County SC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 42%, draw 24%, Orange County SC 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 1–1 Orange County SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Miami FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Orange County SC34%fair 2.92 · @2.45
3.03Expected goals
1.68Miami FC xG
1.36Orange County SC xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Miami FC 1.7 – 1.4 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Miami FCOrange County SC
Attack vs USL Championship average+3%-4%
Goals conceded vs average+20%+30%
Our expected goals here2.031.41

Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiami FC to win ✗42%2.402.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.65 ▲
Draw no betMiami FC (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapOrange County SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
First team to scoreMiami FC to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Miami FC / FT Miami FC ✗27%3.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.89–

Recent results

Miami FC – last 6

DLWLLD
14 Jun@ Oakland Roots0–0D
31 May@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–2L
24 Mayvs Louisville City4–3W
21 May@ Detroit City1–2L
17 Mayvs Tampa Bay Rowdies1–4L
8 May@ Birmingham Legion0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Orange County SC – last 6

WDLWLD
21 Jun@ Las Vegas Lights3–2W
14 Jun@ New Mexico United1–1D
7 Jun@ Alta1–2L
24 Mayvs Oakland Roots3–2W
17 May@ Phoenix Rising1–2L
9 May@ Colorado Springs2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Orange County SC.

Miami FC vs Orange County SC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Orange County SC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Miami FC vs Orange County SC?

On our numbers Miami FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orange County SC 34%.

How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Orange County SC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Orange County SC?

Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Miami FC vs Orange County SC?

Miami FC vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 25 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.