Value bet: Detroit City to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.52
Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Detroit City travel to face Birmingham Legion on Friday 3 July in the USL Championship, with Protective Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Birmingham Legion are 11th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 30 matches; Detroit City are 3rd (among the top four) with 51. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Birmingham Legion, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Loudoun United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Detroit City, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Louisville City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Detroit City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Birmingham Legion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham Legion 1.1 xG, Detroit City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham Legion 37%, draw 27%, Detroit City 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Detroit City to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Detroit City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Birmingham Legion37%fair 2.72 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.35
Detroit City36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
2.33Expected goals
1.12Birmingham Legion xG
1.21Detroit City xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.1 – 1.2 Detroit City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Birmingham Legion
Detroit City
Attack vs USL Championship average
-2%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.92
1.12
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
37%
2.72
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Birmingham Legion (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham Legion +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Detroit City to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Detroit City / FT Detroit City✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.52
–
Recent results
Birmingham Legion – last 6
DDLWDL
21 Jun
vs Loudoun United
1–1
D
17 Jun
@ Oakland Roots
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–2
L
10 Jun
vs Corpus Christi
3–0
W
4 Jun
vs Louisville City
1–1
D
24 May
@ Monterey Bay
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Detroit City – last 6
DWDLWW
20 Jun
vs Louisville City
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sporting JAX
6–2
W
11 Jun
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–1
D
30 May
@ Charleston Battery
0–2
L
21 May
vs Miami FC
2–1
W
16 May
@ Forward Madison
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Detroit City.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Detroit City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Detroit City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?
Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City (USL Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
