Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 18 July the USL Championship brings Pittsburgh Riverhounds against Louisville City at Highmark Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Louisville City are 4th (among the top four) with 47. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sporting JAX, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Louisville City, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Lexington, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Louisville City 0–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.2 xG, Louisville City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%, draw 27%, Louisville City 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Louisville City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds33%fair 3.00 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.25
Louisville City39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
2.45Expected goals
1.22Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.23Louisville City xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.2 – 1.2 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Louisville City
Attack vs USL Championship average
-24%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.13
0.98
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Louisville City 39%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
