Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLexington to win ✓55% · @1.77
Double chanceLexington or draw ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Lexington vs Oakland Roots: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lexington welcome Oakland Roots to Toyota Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Thursday 23 July (00:00 WAT). In the table, Lexington are 4th, among the top four, on 48 points after 30 matches; Oakland Roots are 10th (in the drop zone) with 38.
Current form
Lexington, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to New Mexico United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Oakland Roots, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Spokane Velocity, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lexington 1.9 xG, Oakland Roots 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lexington 55%, draw 22%, Oakland Roots 22%.
Lower-risk option: Lexington or draw (78%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lexington 1–1 Oakland Roots. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lexington55%fair 1.81 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
Oakland Roots22%fair 4.49 · @3.85
3.06Expected goals
1.93Lexington xG
1.13Oakland Roots xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Lexington 1.9 – 1.1 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lexington
Oakland Roots
Attack vs USL Championship average
+45%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-6%
Our expected goals here
2.04
1.19
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✓
55%
1.81
1.77
Double chance
Lexington or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Draw no bet
Lexington (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Oakland Roots +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Lexington to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Lexington ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Lexington – last 6
LLWDWW
16 Jul
vs New Mexico United
1–4
L
12 Jul
@ Louisville City
2–4
L
4 Jul
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
4–1
W
21 Jun
vs Indy Eleven
0–0
D
14 Jun
vs San Antonio
2–0
W
31 May
@ El Paso Locomotive
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oakland Roots – last 6
LLWDDW
11 Jul
vs Spokane Velocity
1–3
L
5 Jul
@ New Mexico United
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Phoenix Rising
4–3
W
17 Jun
vs Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Las Vegas Lights
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lexington and Oakland Roots.
What is the prediction for Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
On our numbers Lexington have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Oakland Roots 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Our predicted score is Lexington 1–1 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lexington vs Oakland Roots?
Lexington vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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